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prediction markets

What the First Foresight Experiment Taught Us About Predicting Clément's Movie Taste

What the First Foresight Experiment Taught Us About Predicting Clément's Movie Taste

Kleros just ran the distilled human judgement for recommendations end-to-end on the mainnet with real money. Sixteen markets opened, five resolved against a single person's verified ratings, and redemption is now live for everyone who traded. Distilled human judgement is the idea, written up by Vitalik

16 Movies, 1 Judge, and a Prediction Market: Introducing the Kleros Foresight

16 Movies, 1 Judge, and a Prediction Market: Introducing the Kleros Foresight

TLDR Vitalik calls it distilled human judgement: use prediction markets to approximate expensive, trusted evaluations cheaply and at scale. Kleros built a general-purpose interface for exactly this, powered by Seer and Kleros Court on Gnosis Chain. The first experiment: 16 movies, 1 judge (our CTO Clément), 5 evaluated. Predict

Social Prediction Markets: Political Forecasting Beyond the Polls

Social Prediction Markets: Political Forecasting Beyond the Polls

Loading the Elevenlabs Text to Speech AudioNative Player... "Is Biden fit for office? Was the Trump assassination attempt staged?". As these sensational headlines flood social media feeds, millions of Americans struggle to separate fact from fiction. In an age where algorithms amplify the most engaging—often the most